Pocono Saturday Practice
Saturday practice and Happy Hour was mostly incident free, with Denny Hamlin emerging as a clear favorite in the ratings.
Juan Pablo Montoya, Clint Bowyer and Jeff Burton are the only top 12 rated drivers currently being offered at better than true odds. With all three at or near the top of the time sheets today, the 18/1 - 22/1 odds on offer look generous, even before I see they are 2 - 5 points better than their rated true odds.
Also worth consideration at over the odds prices are Jamie McMurray and Kevin Harvick, who were amongst the top 5 runners in both sessions today. Ryan Newman also offers some value.
If you like long shots, think about Martin Truex, Sam Hornish or AJ Almendinger.
Best value for lay punters right now are Kurt Busch and Jeff Gordon, both at 9/1, being 9 and 11 points below their true odds respectively.
Good value lays at longer odds are Joey Logano, Greg Biffle, Carl Edwards and Brad Kesolowski.
I'll post my final update and selections for Pocono tomorrow, 30 minutes before the scheduled start time, at 12:45 US/Eastern time (GMT-4.00).
WR = Weighted Rating
TO = True Odds
AO = Actual Odds
OR = Over Round (difference between True and Actual)
View the complete ratings data up to the time of this post by clicking the image. For a full explanation of the system please visit my FAQ page.
Juan Pablo Montoya, Clint Bowyer and Jeff Burton are the only top 12 rated drivers currently being offered at better than true odds. With all three at or near the top of the time sheets today, the 18/1 - 22/1 odds on offer look generous, even before I see they are 2 - 5 points better than their rated true odds.
Also worth consideration at over the odds prices are Jamie McMurray and Kevin Harvick, who were amongst the top 5 runners in both sessions today. Ryan Newman also offers some value.
If you like long shots, think about Martin Truex, Sam Hornish or AJ Almendinger.
Best value for lay punters right now are Kurt Busch and Jeff Gordon, both at 9/1, being 9 and 11 points below their true odds respectively.
Good value lays at longer odds are Joey Logano, Greg Biffle, Carl Edwards and Brad Kesolowski.
I'll post my final update and selections for Pocono tomorrow, 30 minutes before the scheduled start time, at 12:45 US/Eastern time (GMT-4.00).
WR = Weighted Rating
TO = True Odds
AO = Actual Odds
OR = Over Round (difference between True and Actual)
View the complete ratings data up to the time of this post by clicking the image. For a full explanation of the system please visit my FAQ page.
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