Pocono Final Ratings
Race Winner: Denny Hamlin
Best Value Bet: Juan Pablo Montoya on Betfair at 20/1
Best Value Lay: Jeff Gordon on Betfair at 10/1
Best Value Longshot: Jamie McMurray on Bet Fred at 33/1
Denny Hamlin is a strong favourite with a significantly better Weighted Rating than 2nd ranked Kyle Busch. Both are being offered at well under their true odds though, so are not suitable to bet on, and too highly rated to bet against today. Same goes for Jimmie Johnson.
Four drivers in the top 10 are currently being offered at prices higher than their true odds, Montoya, Burton, Bowyer and Khane. A Dutch or Hutch bet combining those 4 might be a good option.
For some extra value, you might consider combining Newman, Harvick or McMurray into your Dutch/Hutch, all around 30/1 and 6-10 points over their True Odds.
At the lottery odds end of the field, Truex, Hornish and Almendinger are in the 66/1 to 150/1 range and each paying around double their True Odds.
For lay punters, after Jeff Gordon, Kurt Busch looks like the next best value lay. Logano, Edwards and Biffle also present excellent value for layers... if you are willing to take on selections in to 30/1 to 40/1 price range.
My Bets For Pocono
Back - Montoya - Top 3 - 2 Units @ $7.20
Back - Burton - Win - 1 Unit @ $23.00
Back - Burton - Top 4 - 1 Unit @ $5.75
Back - Bowyer - Win - 1 Unit @ $22.00
Back - Bowyer - Top 4 - 1 Unit @ $5.50
Lay - Jeff Gordon - Win - 6 units @ $10.00
Potential Liability: 60 Units
Potential Profit: 54.65 Units
Good Luck Punting Today!
WR = Weighted Rating
TO = True Odds
AO = Actual Odds
OR = Over Round (difference between True and Actual)
View the complete ratings data up to the time of this post by clicking the image. For a full explanation of the system please visit my FAQ page.
Best Value Bet: Juan Pablo Montoya on Betfair at 20/1
Best Value Lay: Jeff Gordon on Betfair at 10/1
Best Value Longshot: Jamie McMurray on Bet Fred at 33/1
Denny Hamlin is a strong favourite with a significantly better Weighted Rating than 2nd ranked Kyle Busch. Both are being offered at well under their true odds though, so are not suitable to bet on, and too highly rated to bet against today. Same goes for Jimmie Johnson.
Four drivers in the top 10 are currently being offered at prices higher than their true odds, Montoya, Burton, Bowyer and Khane. A Dutch or Hutch bet combining those 4 might be a good option.
For some extra value, you might consider combining Newman, Harvick or McMurray into your Dutch/Hutch, all around 30/1 and 6-10 points over their True Odds.
At the lottery odds end of the field, Truex, Hornish and Almendinger are in the 66/1 to 150/1 range and each paying around double their True Odds.
For lay punters, after Jeff Gordon, Kurt Busch looks like the next best value lay. Logano, Edwards and Biffle also present excellent value for layers... if you are willing to take on selections in to 30/1 to 40/1 price range.
My Bets For Pocono
Back - Montoya - Top 3 - 2 Units @ $7.20
Back - Burton - Win - 1 Unit @ $23.00
Back - Burton - Top 4 - 1 Unit @ $5.75
Back - Bowyer - Win - 1 Unit @ $22.00
Back - Bowyer - Top 4 - 1 Unit @ $5.50
Lay - Jeff Gordon - Win - 6 units @ $10.00
Potential Liability: 60 Units
Potential Profit: 54.65 Units
Good Luck Punting Today!
WR = Weighted Rating
TO = True Odds
AO = Actual Odds
OR = Over Round (difference between True and Actual)
View the complete ratings data up to the time of this post by clicking the image. For a full explanation of the system please visit my FAQ page.
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